hi friends,
Trying to catch every rise and fall is not a task of CALL/PUT buyer.Trying to do this demands to enter in huge quantities .This happens when ur mind feels that markets will behave exactly you feel and market reverses and gives tremendous frustrations.Even if u catch a normal 400 pts rally in nifty every month u make thrice.
I was saying the same that we are in middle zone so buyers beware.But i wonder seeing the posts people are still purchasing calls.No offence you may be going by your analysis but markets are in such a mood that no support is taken and no resistance is unbreakable.If u want to enter in middle zone enter with 10% of ur capital.I have made such mistakes and so i know the amount of time and energy is consumed in recovering from losses.
Now what are we doing tomorrow RBI policy people are calling judgement day.But ideally speaking RBI policy cannot stop rupee breaking new highs I was just seeing dollar chart and it has confirmed a breakout and so rupee if doesn't stop the rise we are going down.
Only positive aspect for bulls is Reliance chart ,stochastic show reliance hitting oversold zone.Now how much they utilize reliance to bring markets up is a huge question.Any sharp moves on either side for reliance is not good for hedgers.so its like a wait and watch.Most indicators i follow are in middle area but nifty stochastic is below the zero line.
So may not be tomorrow but more the people believe 4700 is gonna stay more FII's are making a recipe for nice barbequed bulls.They are gonna enjoy that bull Meat on Christmas.
so i have written calls and enjoying because until and unless we get some good confirmation there is not point in going long on calls or puts.
still time is not lost tomorrow if we get some rally write calls.
any questions ask them.
bye
Hi,
ReplyDeleteI started following you from your comments on Just Nifty (Ilango Sir).
You are very reasonable in your analysis. Especially your risk free approach is great.
Thank you and all the best. My view is exactly matches with you.
www.ksmfinanceindia.blogspot.com
WB Ji,
ReplyDeleteThank you very much. Today is RBI day...don't know what will happen. So need caution. Yes, it is correct, if we can catch 400 points every month, we can tripple our money. But, is it like this, say we keep on counting trade with some loss, some profit, and then all add up to net 400 points profit eventually for nifty future in a month. How to trade this with Options?
May God Bless all of us,
Warm Regards,
Bulan
WB Ji,
ReplyDeleteVery very thanks.It was great day acourding to your advice.Defenetly you are expert.Your aproches are risk free.
@bulan Sarkar:- we cannot make that 400 pts like comparison for options.Options we enter with different capital at different times.So once we reach at extremes we enter in full throttle and make the most.If u catch such trades u will lead the futures guy way way ahead.
ReplyDeletesupppose nify make 100 pts rise futures guy earns 100*50=5000/25000(margin) 20% but at the same time ITM option buyer has earned more than 80%.
S0 at times options is very dull but most other times it gives returns more than futures.
@Jugal :- welcome
ReplyDelete@anonymous:- welcome