NIFTY options trading strategies for MARCH 2012

hi,

   Friends sorry for delays i was little busy.What really happened i have depicted in my chart an unusual and extended stay by nifty in the top zone on indicators got everyone fooling.

I incurred some damaging losses on puts.But as i said learning must go on staying on sidelines is not our ball game.Some people joined the rally late while some entered early in the rise.This is typical of nifty not letting earn money so easily.

Now what is decided is not to skip the EMAs and pivots which people dont use in a perfect trending market.

Now going ahead pivots and ema's will play cruicial role.

What to do now.

1)Daily:- Everything was going on nicely but now nifty seems to approaching the channel bottom.

              A close below 5385 and below means a small bear run till 5200.

             Now as i said feb closing is important now that baar has closed nicely above the the long term  channel so now 5200 will act as a minimum support line for daily if it goes below 5385.

              Below that long term people will again short and exit.

              RSI the reliable friend also has indication of going down.

              RSI was real culprit see in the charts extended stay fooled people whether to hold shorts or exit.

 

2)weekly:- Weekly on MACD shows signs of little trouble but weekly also has enuf buffer to keep the new trend intact.So weekly can only be in danger below 5100 now.So any fall till 5100 will not have any problems.Overall the rise trend remains.

3)Monthly:- Has to keep the guard for 3 more days.Monthly has to remain above 5200 as said to keep his hopes alive and chances of the same are high.

4)So below 5385 short only if we are helding on closing basis ofcourse u can enter puts on daily basis also but if we close above 5385 the exit puts .buy 5500 call again.

    But chances of 5200 in short term are high so buy 5300 puts as said above with stop loss given.

Now long term bull run to remain so once we reach 5200 again u can enter calls like 5200 5300 5400 but a closing below that just exit. strict stop loss.

SO follow the game plan if 5 ema is turned up then exit shorts.

THanks keep sharing my site.

  

NIFTY options trading strategies for FEB 2011

hi friends,

               I was busy since some time due to other work but as i said nothing has changed.Nifty has already climbed the Everest and its aiming for sky now.But the problem is after 900 pts move and still no correction.

Nifty current week Bar has closed above the channel resistance and it can aim much higher but caution is the key.Moving averages and MACD has slowed down at top and no clear signal of heading down still.

As i said monthly chart will be the key now any close below 5200 means back in the channel and again things can get bearish and people will call this a fake breakout.

Other case breakout is confirmed and market moves ahead but market has shown yearly like movement rite now only.So surprises lie ahead.

5381 had been classic resistance level for market and last time also after breakout of 5400 no one thot it was a breakout so people are busy.

So mean time use pivots as i said a close above 5405 and above keep 5400 call buy.But a close below day pivots at 5383 or week pivots at 5375 likes means people will exit longs and enter puts so until and unless this game of 5400 does not get resolved nothing can be said.

Any close above 5400 on monthly basis confirms a breakout and prompt for buys.

so keep on fluctuating between puts and calls as pivots move.

If there is good opportunity to short then i will write no matter what .

4700 put buyers i am also going in losses so we will treat it as bad trade and move ahead.

I have made few refinement on my study to reach a more accurate conclusions and next time onwards there will be no such bad trades.

happy trading.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for 06th FEB 2011

hi friends,

               CAUTION DANGER AHEAD.I am really sorry for most traders who are on short side.But now only god can help us.

What really happened.Nifty appeared to be protecting the upper resistance of falling channel.people had confidently opened shorts at even 5300 or 5350 but problem is that we need some confirmations.This month is going to be crucial month for the year itself.

My CALL sell i squared of in loss.My puts were sucked out of life by the rise.

Nifty behaviour looks like set for breakout my only worry,last time when we broke out of channel on upside at 5400 there was no reason why was it rising just technically it broke out.

Now going longs will require guts.See now this month to confirm a real breakout of atleast the channel we need closing of month above 5350+.If breakout is the key for FII of whoever is lifitng markets will need this closing else the same story back in channel.

Daily:- I am still of the fact that on daily we will see the fall as RSI has not made a new high it will slowly move down.

Day will see some fall but how much cant be said RSI is a slow indicator.

Weekly:- Looks like a breakout here also although the weekly baar is half in resistance and half above the channel.so more confirmations like closing above the channel will suffice a breakout oif channel.same watch out consistent close above 5350+ on weekly basis as a min to start consolidation or new rise.

Monthly:- SAD news is here only.Just this month confirmation is needed now close above 5350 and game over for bears.Monthly guys were tired of being pressurised and so they are seeking fresh air.Any rally that happens now cant be question because things have technically.

So now those with put buyers like me we have to accept as this could turn out to be a bad trade no point in square off if this channel breakout thing fools out then back in the channel.in that case we would exit at some decent price.

Now what i am going to do is wait ,once it reaches 5400 and close above 5400.Now one can enter with put buy 5400 with a SL of say 30 points max.Else you will have to convert the same to 5400 call buy.But a more than 1000 points rally in 2 months cant be justified so a total caution game ahead.

5400 is the game changer level.Lot things need decoding whether it is confirm break of channel to start new rise or a false and back down again or consolidation to start a new trend.

Lets wait  vix has reached danger level of 25 once it croses 25 then it will be real dangerous it will signify fall.

SO lets hope to get our money back on put buy dont worry we will surely make money ahead.Mostly at trend changes people tend to loose some money.

NIFTY options trading strategies for 31th jan 2011

hi,

@maxy:- There is no point giving targets .Now game looks little simpler.First step Monthly close below 5100 would mean monthly guys will not give major reversal in short period at least.

But as i say this monthly we need to be on high alert as this bull run has given hopes of again a chance of channel break on upside.

Now weekly has hit the resistance and reversed  down and we hope that it will continue down only.So major tension of day being in over bot zone but weekly in middle or not so over bot is not a worry.

Weekly has joined hands with daily in oversold zone.

Daily now classically i rely on RSI as i am long term player i enter big and for longer time frame i dont enter in bits and piece on small runs.But RSI always speaks truth RSI had hit Record over bot levels of nearing about 90 and RSI once hitting such levels always meets its lower friend of level of 20.So better see and wait let see how RSI and MACD span out together.

With RSI moving down i can relax my 5100 call sell has again been saved by my belief.Just this time my enter was very early.

Keep an eye on these indicators flow with them.

If any surprises i see i will post them.

enjoy

NIFTY options trading strategies for november 27th January 2012

hi,

    Hope most of you have smoothly adapted to name change of the blog.

Now As i said to sum up ,I did a major mistake which was that Weekly was rising continuously but I should had let weekly complete its rally to open up the shorts but nevertheless it was a learning Last time in a same situation i had exited with the fall but this time weekly also didn't took any pauses and which caused problems.

Now most important for 5100 call writers like me .Be ready to exit if we get a extreme rise to 5220 plus.

As i said  indicators have stayed in super oversold levels and now its matter of time to get some corrections but this time no mistaking even if we get a fall Monthly has reached a point where we may start seeing a major reversal and get back to rise like situation.so lets see.

VIX support is at 20 rs and last time also we got a bounce from 20 and bounce on vix means nifty is gonna fall.

Rite now 4700,4800 put buyers like me you have to wait i dont think you wud loose any money on this trade.

 

Lets see first target is closing below 5100 and below

bye ,

NIFTY options trading strategies for 25th jan 2011

I am trapped on opposite side but still i am of sound belief of the fall.As i said this will be new learning for me as a stay in extended zone by nifty on indicators has led to this things.
Last time nifty bluffed everyone by magic reversal.This time people like me buyed puts at overbot levels and now i am stuck at the top with nifty still climbing wall and indicators totally relaxed in overbot zone.
Lets wait and see expiry on cards so its better to wait.Let some clear picture come after gambling expiry.

Tommorow i am updating to new site link given below update it as current link will show inactive or the page will not work.

http://nifty-options-only.blogspot.com

NIFTY options trading strategies for 24th jan 2011

hi friends,
              Nothings changed..waiting for a fall lets see what things span out.Dont add new positions.
Sorry for inconvenience but please update your bookmarks.I am changing my blog name to

http://nifty-options-only.blogspot.com

please do it over the weekend so that i can continue to post my trades and strategies smoothly again from next week.

The new link will be available from Monday or tuesday so please update ur bookmarks.

thanks in advance

NIFTY options trading strategies for 23th jan 2011

hi friends,
                 Again I am saying the same people are talking about new higher levels now but i still feel now RSI,ROC,MACD all have reached at mad overbot levels.It just a matter of time we are going to see a fall.
2 Possibilities emerge if we are in sideways then we may see a break of 5100 just by few points and followed by mad reversal.
2nd one is we take a resistance patch below 5099 last time high and we continue downwards.


Going higher cud had sufficed if we had case like indicators in middle zone.
My Put buy has turned in half the price i know but i had taken them in Feb series.So this is one more learning opportunity for me.
Lets see what pattern and indicators i follow support me or nifty puts on a totally different game.


Again the same rule applies believe in ur gameplan and enter.


so lets see when and how fall emerges.

              Sorry for inconvenience but please update your bookmarks.I am changing my blog name to

http://nifty-options-only.blogspot.com

please do it over the weekend so that i can continue to post my trades and strategies smoothly again from next week.

The new link will be available from Monday or tuesday so please update ur bookmarks.

thanks in advance

IMPortant update----- change in blog address

hi friends,

              Sorry for inconviniece but please update your bookmarks.I am changing my blog name to

http://nifty-options-only.blogspot.com

please do it over the weekend so that i can continue to post my trades and strategies smoothly again from next week.

The new link will be available from monday or tuesday so please update ur bookmarks.

thanks in advance.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for 20th jan 2011

hi friends,

               Things look worrisome at one time but don't worry.The main problem as i said is weekly completing its rise.But at the same time daily is reaching extreme ends.It is already in very super overbot state.I kept on averaging as the markets rose.

As i said we may have to wait till Jan end also to confirm get a fall.

Till then lets see how long this rise lasts.

Acc to my logic last top of 5099 will not be taken out.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for november 18th January 2012

hi friends,

              comments to earlier section are replied.

Seems like resistances are breached.But dont worry as i said dont press the panic button.If markets keep on acting like we want then i dont think anyone would had bothered to work at all.

As i said trade setup is about to complete.Wait Right people are busy accumulating Puts or creating shorts.

Any major fall starts immediately after a break of resistance which is false one.

I am not bothered as i am believing in my setup based on charts.I am averaging out my price by doing more additions as markets climbs above.Even if markets does some time pass I dont worry as  averaging out keeps be in fall when it starts anytime soon.

How soon cant be said but as i said markets challenging monthly resistances in falls happens rarely.Most winners in markets cash on that idea.

Have patience add some more position.What has happened is that Weekly chart is completing its rise.People should realize that nifty has already made lot of action and if trend is slowing down then falls may not be deeper.But a appropriate Buy at rite price can surely win you money.

Lets see wait and watch.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for november 17th January 2012

hi friends,
              I was not there as i was on vacation some days but still a long post before this i Have stated soon that jackpot opportunity is on cards.It may happen by markets hitting 4900 or max 4950 acc to charts.

A perfect alignment of RSI,MACD indicators has already formed 90%.Now its belief time.Believe in your trade setup and enter.

As told earlier today i entered in huge quantities in 4700,4800 FEB PUT as buy Options after long time in huge quantities.Let that setup pan out and boom double triple.On cards.

If you have still not entered take ur risk assessment and enter

NIFTY options trading strategies for 13th jan 2011

hi,

   If markets make a way to 4900 it wud be dream for shorters,Buy put 4800 FEB series PUT.

If markets closed above 4850 and above hold on as weekly guys will take control.

But daily guys will not let that happen.

5100 FEB call write is holding on and gonna win nicely.

Buy puts only at tops.

Dont enter Call buys.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for 12th jan 2011

hi,

    I was looking for some signals to confirm few things.Now thing is like Day basis resistance is placed 4900 +/- 20 points.So it will surely fall after hitting that.As I said 5100 FEB series is plan to challenge monthly which breaks at major reversal else it wins most of times.

 Few things what i was waiting as jackpot opportunity looks very close on cards RSI,MACD slowly entering overbot zone.But fooling part of that is that it may reverse fast in a flash or take some days to fall.

Weekly is also on crucial juncture.If we get a weekly close above 4900 then bulls will take game ON in their hands.But this seems to be not permitted by Daily.

So action is I am very much tempted by buying Puts.I may enter 4900 Put Feb series now as expiry is just kissing distance away.or may be 4800 PUT FEB series with really large quantity.

This is belief in trade like situation,I dont know "Pray and enter."(This is backed by belief in your theories)

2 indicator confirmation looks enuf for me.Now see how trade will work semi worse case markets rise beyond 4950 but it will hard for markets to beat 5100 .SO my CALL WRITE at that Level looks fairly safe.

So overall i will be in profit.

Best case markets fall to atleast 4700 first dont know exact target but it wil fall now.So Doubling opportunity is on cards.So Get set ready now.

This time no too much faar puts buying.Not beyond 4700.

Game ON.

NIFTY options trading strategies for 11th jan 2011

hi,

   If you have been following this blog you must had made wonderful bucks I had tried to minimize loss making trades to very less.Likewise i said I will give you indication to buy call/put only when we are certain.

Today that thing paid off handsomely.I exited my 4800 CALL today at peak becos my buy Target according to me has reached.

Going ahead nifty may rise from this breakout first step it will go to 4900 if we get close above that then 5100.

I am challenging monthly and hoping of not breaking it.SO my call write  5100 FEB series had 1 more lot addition.

Now ideally any kind of buy hold above 4850 carries a risk which you should decide by taking 5-EMA as lifeline.

Lets see if we fall on monthly basis after rise or markets decides to make something different.

You can buy aggressive 4800 puts FEB series but not in huge quantity.I am writing CALLS to get some more cushion.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for 10th jan 2011

hi friends,

               5 Ema has been acting as a lifeline for holding call buy that we had done.But things are getting little uncomfortable.Now as i had told you my 5100 CALL write FEB series is giving me protection from any fall so i am not at all worrying

Now for people who have buyed CALL as a naked position them even if we close below 5-Ema dont panic.Weekly is set for rise so one day fall may be there but overall i think my target of 4800 first and then 4850 will happens.

If things like last time happens then we will be again fooled.In that case i will take 70% as SL.means if  my buy is at 100 then at 30 rs i will exit.

But i dont thing this time such thing will happen.so lets hope for best.

NIFTY options trading strategies for 9th jan 2011

hi friends,

              Nothing much has changed as i said if you have buyed calls wait for target of 4850 zone where you can exit calls .If you have still not entered the calls buy alteast below 4750 to get some butter on that trade.

Any such call buy has SL of 4700 and below close.

At 4850 I will continue my 5100 FEB call SELL strategy.

Some aggressive PUT BUY like 4700 PUT FEB series may be done at 4850.

So basically now setup looks simple and if you have been reading my posts earlier its a while now i am writing 5100 CALL so any reversal will not bother me means any fall from now i will be in huge profits.

bye tc

NIFTY options trading strategies for 7th jan 2011

hi friends,

              don't know how trading is gonna conducted for tomorrow but i had read the curricular.so the some analysis.As i said week on week basis we we are gonna rise so mild see saw moves should not disturb you.

But as i said monthly resistances are hard to break so i am writing with every rise.

I don't get time to post charts but again tomorrow the game is simple staying above 5 Ema is important it should be a stop loss signal for any buy of call.

First Resistance of 4800 needs to be broken then 4850 zone is the resistance major one in mid terms.so any call buy should target exit of that.Till then lets see what indicators speak.

But soon a major jackpot opportunity will be on cards.I am waiting for markets to rise.to take a mega trade.

Keep a close eye on daily weekly charts for your adjustment of positions.

Still if you have not entered 4800 call Jan series you can enter with SL of 4705 on closing basis.Meanwhile 4850 and writers CALL writers of Jan  series can write more 5100 CALL.

Comments to previous post are replied.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for 6th jan 2011

hi,

    Same thing continues tomorrow.Keep your calls on hold we are sure to get rise tomorrow but as i said if u are on naked call buy u need to exit @ close below 4715 like levels as stop loss.Those who have written 5100 call will have luxury to hold call buy as equal and opposite trade.

rest lets see what setup emerges.

 

NIFTY options trading strategies for 5th jan 2011

hi,

   Indicators clearly suggest we are set for rise.You can buy 4900 Call and book based on how markets perform around 4850 level.But again i said you cannot predict when will nifty reverse in such markets so better any new high write 5100 call feb series.

Benefit of call write was seen last time only as after 200 pts fall people realized that market had reversed.So people got late catching up the fall.So the same.

Rest writers can write 4300 Feb put  and relax and if danger persists cover at 4900 based on price action.

if you have any doubts post it in comments.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for 4th jan 2011

hi friends,

              There are two category of people rite now .One who are entry level and they cannot afford to enter with full throttle rite now.One who have some experience now and they can and should enter with whole capital.

@bulan and most others:- It is always good to be on safe side.But watching from the shores and not riding waves becomes difficult.So take your call based on ur capital and ur experience and understanding.

Again i say the same thing,if you are entering with value worth 1 lakhs ,there cannot be ifs and buts so for them as the rise continues keep selling 5100 call Feb series.

Now ideally you could have entered 4300 put SELL in morning as the other side but now DEC 4300 put opportunity is gone still you can enter 4300 or 4200 put Feb series in SELL MODE.

I am gonna write calls as resistance of 5100 is strong enuf atleast on temporary basis.Today i sold 5100 feb at 46.Tomorrow again if rise continues some more lots i will enter.

Buyers there is some good news you can take risk now if we close above 4840 and above daily basis buy 5000 call Jan or Feb series as cost affordable.Target around 5100 or less

But again now the same task continues as to when can we assert the top has been made is little confusion so in such cases CALL writing comes in handy.

so as i said in last post weekly looks set for risk.

Trade with caution especially buyers ,writers have enuf cushion to actually start panic.

4300 to 5100 is huge range .So writes in these can be pretty safe unless a monthly reversal is made.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for 3rd jan 2011

hi,

   Again i am seeing charts indicators Buyers are still in agony,there is no clear indication to go long and its of no use if u are not able to convincingly put your entire capital during trading because of uncertainties.

RSI shows signs of moving up.People are waiting to see if 5 Ema can be broken convincingly.Even if it breaks its really hard to go long in full throttle.

so best strategy is to write 4300 put Jan series or if you want more safety 4000 put Feb series or 4100 Feb series and 5100 call Feb series.

 What will happen is that any reversal you are guarded by put written and any drastic fall is guarded by call written.

As i said 4300 is real real cheap level for nifty.Everyone will enter in full swing and also as a know support technical level we can write it.

Buyers there will be in store for you once RSI hits the overbot zone look into it and if i feel convincing enuf i will enter with some put buy.

Expect some rally whose upside is not known so write and relax is the theme of market.

bye

NIFTY options trading strategies for 2nd jan 2011

Happy New year to all blog mates,

I had fever for some days so no post on Friday,On expiry i had told that any extreme moves on one side wud be winning trade but that was not the case i lost 3k on expiry i had bot 4700 call and 4600 put.None of them was broken but no worries as i told it was a gamble trade.

Now the confusion scenario still continues MACD shows signs of going down but RSI shows signs of heading up.

So trade with caution ,As i said my long term winning trade made me some nice bucks I had written 5100 call Jan series,which i covered at 10 bucks.

So no point in entering some mad trades,if you are followers of chart day in day out and hourly etc then you can buy on overbot and sell on oversold level,.

Weekly shows signs of bottoming out so people will be busy writing puts.Faar ones.

Monthly also shows signs of may be reversing so now people will be writing 4100 puts and enjoying.

Daily needs to do one thing RSI,MACD these guys need to get alligned on daily so that we enter jackpot trade.

TILL then wait for market action to get some clarity.

So caution word is there for daily traders.

One favour i always expect from you people.Please post my blog link on ur social network ,ur forums where u are members or share with ur family members.

Bye tc